Thursday, July 19, 2007

More Signs Of Life

One indication of just how disasterous the President's excellent adventure in Iraq has been for the US and for the rest of the world is that a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University has written an op-ed piece for today's Los Angeles Times in which he sets out just a few of the consequences of this ill-advised and immoral war. Here's a portion of what Professor Timothy Garton Ash had to say:

... Iraq has not yet begun. Not yet begun in terms of the consequences for Iraq itself, the Middle East, the United States' own foreign policy and its reputation in the world. The most probable consequence of rapid U.S. withdrawal from Iraq in its present condition is a further bloodbath, with even larger refugee flows and the effective dismemberment of the country. Already, about 2 million Iraqis have fled across the borders, and more than 2 million are internally displaced. ...

In an article for the Web magazine Open Democracy, Middle East specialist Fred Halliday spells out some regional consequences. Besides the effective destruction of the Iraqi state, these include the revitalizing of militant Islamism and enhancement of the international appeal of the Al Qaeda brand; the eruption, for the first time in modern history, of internecine war between Sunni and Shiite, "a trend that reverberates in other states of mixed confessional composition"; the alienation of most sectors of Turkish politics from the West and the stimulation of authoritarian nationalism there; the strengthening of a nuclear-hungry Iran; and a new regional rivalry pitting the Islamic Republic of Iran and its allies, including Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas, against Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan.

For the United States, the world is now, as a result of the Iraq war, a more dangerous place. At the end of 2002, what is sometimes tagged "Al Qaeda Central" in Afghanistan had been virtually destroyed, and there was no Al Qaeda in Iraq. In 2007, there is an Al Qaeda in Iraq, parts of the old Al Qaeda are creeping back into Afghanistan and there are Al Qaeda emulators spawning elsewhere, notably in Europe.

Osama bin Laden's plan was to get the U.S. to overreact and overreach itself. With the invasion of Iraq, Bush fell slap-bang into that trap. The U.S. government's own latest National Intelligence Estimate, released this week, suggests that Al Qaeda in Iraq is now among the most significant threats to the security of the American homeland.


Professor Ash has provided a survey of the kinds of problems it will take decades to unravel, and his conclusion is one that the majority of Americans would certainly agree with:

Looking back over a quarter of a century of chronicling current affairs, I cannot recall a more comprehensive and avoidable man-made disaster.

Heckuva job, George.

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1 Comments:

Blogger WGG, Rogue Scholar & Tokin Lib'rul said...

neither the USofA nor the rest of the world will EVER undo the damages done by the Busheviks over their 8-year (so far) reign.
for all practical purposes, the country will NEVER be rid of the malign influences loosed upon the electorate. The likes of Alito and Roberts will be fucking things up for decades; the thousands of political appointees who've been surreptitiously installed in career positions will live and continue to screw things up inside govt for fucking generations. No subsequent regime will gladly relinquish the powers the Busheviki have arrogated to themselves.
It is the same in the rest of the world, in particular in the Middle East, where the West MUST remain a visible presence in order to control the exploitation of the region's resources.
And this says nothing at all about the consequences of the Busheviki's unwillingness to take the climate crisis seriously, probably past the point of no return,
I am glad 1) I never reproduced and 2) i've only gotta live another 15 or so years in the chaos and anarchy that will ialmost inevitably ensue.

5:23 AM  

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